New Directions for Agriculture in Reducing Poverty

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Tinker or tailor?



The 2003 Autumn Performance Report on DFID's Public Service Agreement (PSA)
makes bleak reading so far as the theme of this e-mail forum is concerned.
Let us disregard the 'Too early to say' and 'Not yet assessed' categories.
Yes, the Report contains some promising news in education. But, we have to
be majorly concerned about where there has been slippage.

And where has there been 'slippage'? (And let's be clear that slippage here
means UK Government is 'off-track' to meet its obligations). Ttwo examples
of Government being off-track in its delivery:

in the reduction of under-5 mortality rates in Africa
in securing agreement by 2005 to a significant reduction in trade barriers
leading to improved trading opportunities for developing countries

Usefully, DFID give some reasons as to why they think they might be
off-track.

A slower-than-anticipated fall in under-5 mortality rates in Africa "must be
interpreted within the context of the HIV/AIDS epidemic." and "Some of the
new countries brought into the 2003-2006 PSA have particularly high under-5
mortality rates".

On Cancun - Polarised negotiating positions make agreement by 1st January
2005 unrealistic, given 2004 US elections and change of European
Commissioners. Progress remains vulnerable to events and pressures outside
our control".

DFID has been sensible in putting down some remedial actions where progress
has not been so good/DFID might be underperforming* (* delete according to
your own judgement).

On under-5 mortality - DFID will engage with health sector development in 10
of the 16 PSA countries and in other sectors that influence child health
outcomes, for example water, sanitation and education. Not food, agriculture
or hunger reduction! DFID does not seem to yet judge that food, agriculture
or hunger can make any in-roads into infant mortality.  Is the 'for example'
phrase a sufficient political commitment to what could be a major reducer of
infant mortality? Probably not.

On Trade - DFID will take a number of steps to strive for a significant
reduction in trade barriers, citing there 'not being insufficient political
will among the members to make progress'. But DFID's position seems to me to
be hamstrung by its ambivalence. I'll be honest and say I thought the
inconsistency between its PSA target and its Service Delivery target to be a
typo on an old version which must surely have been corrected by now. But no,
it is still there in versions of both documents available on the web today.
In the PSA, DFID supports developing country efforts, but in the SDA, it
implies that it will only do so where there are mutually beneficial
opportunities. The latter is a major qualifier on the former. It raises very
serious questions as to quite what policy it is carrying into its
negotiations on behalf of UK public. Clarification is absolutely required.

The bottom-line is that while this progress report is a snap-shot, it is
highly unlikely that being off-track is a temporary 'blip' - it is a
snap-shot on longer-term trends.
By implication, DFID's response to food, agriculture and hunger can not be
one of 'tinkering' within its current policies. It requires a wholesale
re-tailoring.

Where could that start?

As Andrew MacMillan has called for, a restatement of the Government's
commitment to the World Food Summit objective would correct the public
perception (and DFID's partner governments) that this has not fallen off the
development agenda.

The Commission for Africa is a significant opportunity, and surely one would
want to see hunger, and the food and agriculture contribution to poverty
figuring highly in the issues raised. But that may need more 'process' over
the next year to make sure it is adequately represented when the Commission
reports - not after!.And that process would surely need to start very soon.

In 2003, Tony Blair said that Britain should be a champion for the
developing world - (for example) making their NEPAD work. Well, whither UK
Government support to the Comprehensive African Agricultural Development
Plan? All African Heads of State have made a commitment to raise expenditure
on agriculture to at least 10% of Government expenditure in the imminent
future. The CAADP contains many of the high-level objectives that DFID would
surely embrace. While the detail may perhaps not be perfect, it is surely UK
Government's best chance of engaging their support to the continent's
efforts. And with the forthcoming UK presidency, surely that is a prime
opportunity to exert wider influence within the EC. UK Government sees the
EU as a major player, and a critical multi-lateral route.

As mentioned in previous postings, an internal organisational drive towards
the hunger contribution to the child mortality objective, such that this
becomes an explicit area of remedial intervention alongside water and
sanitation. Surely there is an adequate evidence-base to justify this?

Given the importance of PRS strategies and the aligned HIPC financing (debt
relief) processes, just how significant are issues of hunger, food and
agriculture represented - directly or indirectly? Where it has a significant
profile, is DFID responding appropriately? Could DFID not work better with
countries to help them to clarify the means by which they intend their
agriculture to deliver multiple MDG benefits?

And what about the many countries that are slow towards their PRS
approaches - as a requisite to meaningful DBS? Is there not a parallel
approach for those countries with difficult governance that is beyond
conflict-reduction alone?

To be honest, the issue of trade negotiations is almost reaching the level
of it being an election issue. Are we aligned with the US Government, are we
acting only where there is mutual interest between the UK and developing
countries (are DFID and DTIs objectives even compatible?), or is the UK
working primarily to  benefit developing countries (with a willingness to
accept that there may be some disbenefits to the UK?).

Some thoughts, anyway, and apologies for going over some ground that may
already have been trodden in this consultation. With due respect, I sense
that advice on optimal development assistance in agriculture won't matter a
jot unless there is the commitment to a step-change in development
assistance through agriculture/food and hunger.

Andy Bullock


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Please visit dfid-agriculture-consultation.nri.org.