New Directions for Agriculture in Reducing Poverty

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A late call to risk and vulnerability



Dear All,
Those who know me advise that tact is not my strength, so please forgive me
if this late contribution appears impatient. It's intended to be
constructive. 
I hope DfID are getting what they want from this discussion. It started
well, with some clear questions from John Farrington. This attracted both
lofty analysis and direct observations, though possibly too few direct
observations to form a general picture. And now the heat has died a little.
It seems that DfID are asking straightforward questions about what to do,
and in return receiving (with some notable exceptions) long but overly
cautious answers - more typical of advisors than implementers. This seems
strange for a subject like risk and vulnerability, which is not difficult
conceptually. Just hard to implement practically. 
So here, are a few reflections on three practical interventions DfID might
consider for selective investment. 
1 Policy interventions to support risk management. Not my area of expertise
but Tom Lines proposed this and subsequently describes a (chequered) history
of policy interventions for commodity price risk management. Lets hope
policy interventions to support production risk management could do better. 
2 Experimentation with more local schemes that encourage engagement of the
private sector in innovative risk management and credit systems for local
communities. I realise that engagement should be done with care but this
interests me greatly because it seems practical accelerated change.
Possibilities such as weather-based insurance to accompany micro-credit look
reasonable - farmers and NGOs we speak to seem very keen. The concepts are
being developed by the World Bank and others. Now we need to expand and
coordinate experience.
3 Quantify specific risks. The need to provide secure estimates of risks is
so basic we may have overlooked it. We have learnt from our experience in
Honduras that vulnerability assessments based on sound scientific
principles, using publicly available data and undertaken in a transparent
process can help combat problems of unequal lobbying power of special
interests in the distribution of resources. There is a continued need to
provide sound estimates that are compatible with detailed local observation.

best regards
Simon C

Simon Cook
Project Leader, 
Land Use and GIS
CIAT - Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical, 
Email: <address removed>

Visit our website at: http://gisweb.ciat.cgiar.org/sig/inicio.htm
Mailing Address: CIAT, A.A. 6713, Cali, Colombia.
CIAT website: http://www.ciat.cgiar.org/





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