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While continuing on extension the other reason I see limited need for it is the messages normally extended. As I think I touched on before extension messages by their very nature tend to be idealistic with a close fit to the physical environment and emphasis the maximum yield physical potential will also and not necessarily the economic optimal yield. They thus tend to project a very limited opportunity time, mostly early in the season. This would be perhaps 2 to 3 weeks at the most. They do not take into account the up to 8 week spread in crop establishment that renders the recommendations unusable. Also, how often are extension program more a tool of the government in trying to assure adequate food supplies particularly for the urban population then a means of enhancing farmer well being? This is often backed by ceiling price policy which substantially erodes farmers' price and with that the economic optimal level of inputs, etc. As the delay in crop establishment reduces the potential yield, the recommendations based on maximum yield become progressively uneconomical. Again the result is farmers rejecting the extension message even when well known. More realistic estimates of farmers' yields that factor in the delays in planting and other compromises would be 50% of potential yields. Also, as the farmers know how long it will take to get their crops establish they optimize their total returns by compromising quality for extent. This would be most noticeable in plant populations of row and hill crops such as maize and transplanted rice. In this case with the same time and effort against a declining yield potential the farmer is better off doing one hectare at half the recommended rate then half a hectare at recommended rate. According to the typical sigmoid production function this is really good economics. Again it is important to recognize that smallholders may be poor and perhaps with limited education but they are experienced skilled practitioners of crop husbandry and can quickly adjust to changing conditions and opportunities and fine tune their management to accommodate the limited resources available to them extension services or no extension service. Dick Tinsley - ============================================================= To send a reply to this message that goes to all list members, make sure that you send your reply to <address removed> To unsubscribe from this list, send an email to "<address removed>", with the message body: unsubscribe science-and-technology <your-email-address>
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